By Bill Sheehan, Executive Director
An interesting article from
UK has been circulating on several listservs connecting carbon accounting,
consumption and recycling. I am reposting it here with a few comments to put it
in context.
The article, which was published
in both the Guardian UK
and The Ecologist,
challenged a government claim “that this country cut greenhouse gas emissions
by 19% between 1990 and 2008…. When the
impact of the goods we buy from other nations is counted, our total greenhouse
gases did not fall by 19% between 1990 and 2008. They rose by 20%.” There has in fact been a drum beat of
articles shining light on this topic for several years.
Flow of
emissions among major exporting and importing countries (in megatons of carbon
dioxide equivalent). From Nature, 09 March 2010.
The phenomenon is called outsourced
emissions, or, more bluntly, carbon omissions. It refers to the fact that wealthy countries
like the US and UK consume a great deal of products manufactured in poorer
countries, often using dirtier technologies.
Traditional greenhouse gas accounting misses this phenomenon for two
reasons: they focus on production rather than consumption; and they only look
at emissions in a limited geographical or territorial area (for example,
emissions produced in the US).
In 2009 Product Policy
Institute published an early report on this phenomenon, Products,
Packaging and US Greenhouse Gas Emissions. We engaged the technical
expert who did the systems-based accounting for EPA (Joshuah Stolaroff) and got
him to extend the analysis globally. The
result was that accounting for global emissions increased the US greenhouse gas
impacts of making, transporting and using goods and materials -- which we
labeled products and packaging – from 37% to 44% of all US emissions. (For an update see 2011 presentations to
ICLEI, Consumption-based
GHG Accounting: An Introduction.)
UK is actually more
dependent on outsourced emissions than the US.
In a Nature review
of an important study done
at the Carnegie Institution of Washington, in Stanford, California, the author
noted: " In some wealthy countries,
including Britain and France, more than
30% of consumption-based emissions are imported; in the United States, the figure is 11%.”
Here's the article:
Let's Stop Hiding Behind Recycling and Be Honest About Consumption
By George
Monbiot
Guardian UK, 14 April 2013
We have
offshored the problem of escalating consumption, and our perceptions of it, by
considering only territorial emissions, says George Monbiot.
Every society
has topics it does not discuss. These are the issues which challenge its
comfortable assumptions. They are the ones that remind us of mortality, which
threaten the continuity we anticipate, which expose our various beliefs as
irreconcilable.
Among them are
the facts which sink the cosy assertion, that (in David Cameron's words)
"there need not be a tension between green and growth".
At a reception
in London recently I met an extremely rich woman, who lives, as most people
with similar levels of wealth do, in an almost comically unsustainable fashion:
jetting between various homes and resorts in one long turbo-charged holiday.
When I told her what I did, she responded: "Oh I agree, the environment is
so important. I'm crazy about recycling." But the real problem, she
explained, was "people breeding too much".
I agreed that
population is an element of the problem, but argued that consumption is rising
much faster and - unlike the growth in the number of people - is showing no
signs of levelling off. She found this notion deeply offensive: I mean the
notion that human population growth is slowing. When I told her that birth
rates are dropping almost everywhere, and that the world is undergoing a slow
demographic transition, she disagreed violently: she has seen, on her endless
travels, how many children "all those people have".
As so many in her
position do, she was using population as a means of disavowing her own impacts.
The issue allowed her to transfer responsibility to others: people at the
opposite end of the economic spectrum. It allowed her to pretend that her
shopping and flying and endless refurbishments of multiple homes are not a
problem. Recycling and population: these are the amulets people clasp in order
not to see the clash between protecting the environment and rising consumption.
In a similar
way, we have managed, with the help of a misleading global accounting system,
to overlook one of the gravest impacts of our consumption. This too has allowed
us to blame foreigners - particularly poorer foreigners - for the problem.
When nations
negotiate global cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, they are held responsible
only for the gases produced within their own borders. Partly as a result of
this convention, these tend to be the only ones that countries count. When
these "territorial emissions" fall, they congratulate themselves on reducing
their carbon footprints. But as markets of all kinds have been globalised, and
as manufacturing migrates from rich nations to poorer ones, territorial
accounting bears ever less relationship to our real impacts.
While this is an
issue which affects all post-industrial countries, it is especially pertinent
in the United Kingdom, where the difference between our domestic and
international impacts is greater than that of any other major emitter. The last
government boasted that this country cut greenhouse gas emissions by 19%
between 1990 and 2008. It positioned itself (as the current government does) as
a global leader, on course to meet its own targets, and as an example for other
nations to follow.
But the cut the
UK has celebrated is an artefact of accountancy. When the impact of the goods
we buy from other nations is counted, our total greenhouse gases did not fall
by 19% between 1990 and 2008. They rose by 20%. This is despite the replacement
during that period of many of our coal-fired power stations with natural gas,
which produces roughly half as much carbon dioxide for every unit of
electricity. When our "consumption emissions", rather than
territorial emissions, are taken into account, our proud record turns into a
story of dismal failure.
There are two
further impacts of this false accounting. The first is that because many of the
goods whose manufacture we commission are now produced in other countries,
those places take the blame for our rising consumption. We use China just as we
use the population issue: as a means of deflecting responsibility. What's the
point of cutting our own consumption, a thousand voices ask, when China is
building a new power station every 10 seconds (or whatever the current rate
happens to be)?
But, just as our
position is flattered by the way greenhouse gases are counted, China's is
unfairly maligned. A graph published by the House of Commons energy and climate
change committee shows that consumption accounting would reduce China's
emissions by roughly 45%. Many of those power stations and polluting factories
have been built to supply our markets, feeding an apparently insatiable demand
in the UK, the US and other rich nations for escalating quantities of stuff.
The second thing
the accounting convention has hidden from us is consumerism's contribution to
global warming. Because we consider only our territorial emissions, we tend to
emphasise the impact of services - heating, lighting and transport for example
- while overlooking the impact of goods. Look at the whole picture, however,
and you discover (using the Guardian's carbon calculator) that manufacturing
and consumption is responsible for a remarkable 57% of the greenhouse gas
production caused by the UK.
Unsurprisingly,
hardly anyone wants to talk about this, as the only meaningful response is a
reduction in the volume of stuff we consume. And this is where even the most
progressive governments' climate policies collide with everything else they
represent. As Mustapha Mond points out in Brave New World, "industrial
civilisation is only possible when there's no self-denial. Self-indulgence up
to the very limits imposed by hygiene and economics. Otherwise the wheels stop
turning".
The wheels of
the current economic system - which depends on perpetual growth for its
survival - certainly. The impossibility of sustaining this system of endless,
pointless consumption without the continued erosion of the living planet and
the future prospects of humankind, is the conversation we will not have.
By considering
only our territorial emissions, we make the impacts of our escalating
consumption disappear in a puff of black smoke: we have offshored the problem,
and our perceptions of it.
But at least in
a couple of places the conjuring trick is beginning to attract some attention.
On 16 April, the
Carbon Omissions site will launch a brilliant animation by
Leo Murray, neatly sketching out the problem*. The hope is that by explaining
the issue simply and engagingly, his animation will reach a much bigger
audience than articles like the one you are reading can achieve. (*Declaration of interest [unpaid]: I did
the voiceover).
On 24 April, the
Committee on Climate Change (a body that advises the UK government) will
publish a report on how consumption emissions are likely to rise, and how
government policy should respond to the issue.
I hope this is
the beginning of a conversation we have been avoiding for much too long. How
many of us are prepared fully to consider the implications?
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